@ZjF99wxALD89874

Considering the gate, odds, and weather G1 Kikuka Sho Final Check ✔️ Part.1 (Gates 1–4) ① M's Begin (Trifecta 3rd row or toss) His last race, the Kobe Shimbun Hai, was stronger than expected. The possibility that he's bloomed cannot be ruled out. However, this innermost gate looks very hard to race from, and if he gets boxed in, he'll likely finish without sustaining a long, good turn of foot. His temperament is sketchy (△), so pushing him forward might cause him to pull, but waiting from the rear doesn't give me the image of him reaching the frame. If that single last race is being overvalued, my evaluation settles closer to tossing him. His jockey is eerie, so put him in the 3rd row if you're worried. ② Congestus (Buy as a main contender) His last race saw a massive increase in horse weight, clearly making it a prep run. Furthermore, a slow-pace acceleration battle completely doesn't suit him, so it can be completely ignored. The Derby also lacked a smooth stretch run and Tokyo clearly doesn't suit him, so we can reevaluate. This horse is a stamina type who rises to prominence in grueling, energy-draining races where the finish takes a toll. He should suit the Kikuka Sho stage. Even in a scenario where Sea to Summit makes a sweeping move and Rob Chen and others crush the front, this horse alone has the potential to keep stretching without fading. Judging by yesterday's track, sticking to the inside seems better than going wide, and from this gate he will stalk in a forward prominent position and gradually push through in the final 4F.